Market Recap
XAUUSD
XAUUSD opened at 4995.88 and briefly advanced to 5000.87 by 01:24, testing the 5000 handle, before sliding to the session low of 4842.72 at 16:01 and settling at 4878.15. The instrument finished the session down 117.73 points, or 2.36%, from the open. The intraday range measured 158.15 points, equivalent to 3.17% of the open and about 65.9% of the current daily ATR. The close occurred near the lower end of the day’s span, roughly 35 points above the low, after price traded below the opening level for most of the session. Structurally, trade progressed from the early high into a sequence of lower highs and lower lows through mid‑afternoon, followed by a partial retracement into the close; the high was set within the first half hour, while the low was established mid‑session. The 5000 threshold was probed once near the start and was not revisited thereafter. On higher‑timeframe metrics, the H1 21‑period EMA stood at 4907.02, with price finishing beneath it after starting above it. Momentum readings showed H4 RSI14 at 27.75 and D1 RSI14 at 37.53 by the end of trading. The session registered a five‑day low at 4842.72, placing the close in the lower quartile of the day’s range and near the hourly moving average resistance overhead at 4907.02. Overall, the day featured an early test of a round number, a pronounced downswing to a multi‑day trough, and a late stabilization that left the market well below the opening print.

DJ30
DJ30 opened at 49,577.5 and finished at 49,569.5, down 8.0 points or -0.016%. The session spanned 556.0 points, equivalent to 1.12% of the opening level, with the high posted at 49,747.45 at 16:31 and the low at 49,191.45 at 17:42. Price advanced to the session peak into mid-afternoon before retreating to the trough within just over an hour, then steadied into the close. The settlement was above the day’s midpoint and below the intraday high, leaving the market near unchanged on the day while preserving a sizeable intraday range. The downside probe reached the 49,190 handle, and price action crossed multiple 10‑point handles during the move, while the topside push stalled shy of the 49,750 area. From a broader context, the close remained above the 21‑day exponential moving average at 49,454.72 and well above the daily lower Bollinger Band at 48,551.69, while the 10‑day high at 50,554.45 stayed untested. The intraday structure showed a clear high‑to‑low reversal sequence centered on the 16:31 to 17:42 window, followed by a recovery that left the close marginally below the open and in the upper half of the day’s range. No new multi‑day extremes were recorded, with the session contained beneath the recent 10‑day peak and holding above the referenced daily moving average backdrop.

GBPUSD
GBPUSD ended the 00:00–05:16 session at 1.36, down 0.0016 (-0.116%) from the 1.36 open. Price set its session high at 1.36 at 00:05 and later printed the low at 1.36 at 05:06, establishing an intraday range of 0.0026, which was 0.19% of the opening level. The pattern was front‑loaded, with the high arriving in the opening minutes and subsequent trade stepping lower into the early morning; by the close at 05:16, the pair was positioned near the lower boundary of the day’s span, finishing roughly 9% of the range above the low. Round‑number dynamics were evident as the market repeatedly engaged the 1.36 handle; the trough remained just above that figure, and there was no break beneath it within the session window. From a technical backdrop, price action oscillated around a nearby moving‑average cluster on higher intraday frames, with the early uptick briefly topping the H1 EMA21 and H4 SMA50 before settlement occurred back below those references for the close. On the broader four‑hour view, the MACD registered -0.0. Overall, the distribution left a close anchored in the lower segment of the day’s range after an early high and a late-session low, with the absolute move and range—at 0.0016 and 0.0026 respectively—framing a session that unfolded tightly around the 1.36 handle without a decisive push away from that round level.

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview
Canadian price data set the tone, with January headline CPI flat month over month at 0.0 percent (prior -0.2, matching the 0.0 forecast) while core CPI rose 0.2 percent month over month (prior -0.4, versus a 0.0 forecast); on a year over year basis, core slowed to 2.6 percent from 2.8, below the 2.7 forecast. Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces its policy decision at 01:00 server time, with the Official Cash Rate previously at 2.25 percent; the statement will be followed by a press conference at 16:00 server time, which may refine guidance. At 13:30 server time, US durable goods orders are due, expected to fall 3.2 percent month over month after a 5.3 percent gain previously; if orders weaken as projected, that typically signals softer business equipment demand and can weigh on near-term manufacturing output. The RBNZ decision could induce NZD volatility around the release.

