{"id":41424,"date":"2026-09-14T15:59:14","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T05:59:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/?post_type=market-overview&p=41424"},"modified":"2026-09-30T18:04:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T08:04:39","slug":"us-consumer-price-index-cpi-mom-higher-than-expected-tug-of-war-between-bulls-and-bears-us-crude-oil-tumbles-nearly-4-market-focuses-on-ecb-president-lagardes-speech","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/us-consumer-price-index-cpi-mom-higher-than-expected-tug-of-war-between-bulls-and-bears-us-crude-oil-tumbles-nearly-4-market-focuses-on-ecb-president-lagardes-speech\/","title":{"rendered":"US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM Higher Than Expected, Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears, US Crude Oil Tumbles Nearly 4%, Market Focuses on ECB President Lagarde\u2019s Speech"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market Themes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A sharp drop in US Crude Oil was the most prominent change of the day, while US equities and Gold closed higher and USD\/JPY moved lower, forming a directional divergence. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM came in at 0.4%, higher than expected; following this data release, various instruments failed to forge a unified direction: 3 out of 5 instruments closed higher, with only USD\/JPY and US Crude Oil moving lower against the grain, while the US Dollar Index strengthened by 0.01% over the same period, a magnitude insufficient to confirm a single overarching narrative across the board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the absence of a cross-asset common driver, each instrument is better suited for independent interpretation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Crude Oil fell 3.68%; Dow Jones rose 0.92%; Nasdaq rose 0.85%; Gold rose 0.73%; USD\/JPY fell 0.60%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USOIL (US Crude Oil)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On September 11, US Crude Oil (USOIL) closed lower, settling at 100.175, down sharply by 3.68%. In the Asian session at 23:45, it spiked to 104.585 before softening, pulling back to 98.624 in the US session at 13:30, with the intraday high untested thereafter. The 100 mark was lost and regained intraday, while the 101 mark was surrendered during the day. Intraday range reached 144% of its 14-day average daily volatility, ranking at the 95th percentile over the past 20 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Short- and medium-term prices both sit above the MA5 (97.672) and MA20 (89.351); the long-term moving average MA100 (87.055) provides support underneath. Key resistance sits at 104.585 (day high, 10-day high), 4.4% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support lies at 98.000 (round number), 2.2% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. Key focus: 104.585 Resistance | 98.000 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

NAS100 (Nasdaq)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Major US equity indices strengthened in tandem overnight, with the Nasdaq (NAS100) rising 247.5 points to close at 29,399.1, up slightly by 0.85%. In the Asian session at 04:00, it tested down to near 29,043.3 before stabilizing, touching 29,504.8 in the US session at 13:00, with the early-session low untested thereafter. An attempt was made to test the 29,500 mark intraday but failed to hold above. Short-term closed above MA10 (29,382.6) (opening below and closing above it intraday); medium-term closed below MA20 (29,400.8); long-term moving average MA100 (29,286.9) provides support underneath.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance sits at 29,674.1 (previous week high), 0.9% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support lies at 28,975.8\u201329,000.0 (round number, lower Bollinger Band), 1.4% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. The confirmation line lies at MA20 (29,400.8); before reclaiming it, a bounce-back is more like a correction than a trend reversal. If 28,975.8\u201329,000.0 (round number, lower Bollinger Band) is lost, weakness may extend toward the 28,889.8\u201328,903.6 zone (20-day low, 10-day low).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key focus: 29,674.1 Resistance | 28,975.8\u201329,000.0 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

USDJPY (USD\/JPY)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The foreign exchange market weakened on the same day, with USD\/JPY (USDJPY) closing at 153.488, down slightly by 0.60%. In the Asian session at 23:30, it spiked to 154.606 before softening, pulling back to 153.231 in the US session at 13:00. The 154 mark was surrendered during the day. Key resistance sits at 155.000 (key round number), 1.0% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support lies at 152.000 (round number), 1.0% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The confirmation line lies at MA5 (153.947); before reclaiming it, a bounce-back is more like a correction than a trend reversal. If 152.000 (round number) is lost, weakness may extend toward the 151.000 (round number) level. Key focus: 155.000 Resistance | 152.000 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Other Asset Performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

DJ30 (Dow Jones)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Dow Jones (DJ30) rose 479.1 points to close at 52,592.0, up slightly by 0.92%. Key resistance sits at 52,969.5\u201353,011.3 (round number, 55-day SMA, 50-day SMA), 0.8% from current prices; downside support lies at 51,997.0\u201352,000.0 (round number, previous day low), 1.1% from current prices. Key focus: 52,969.5\u201353,011.3 Resistance | 51,997.0\u201352,000.0 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD (Gold)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold (XAUUSD) rose 31.5 points to close at 4,348.49 per ounce, up slightly by 0.73%. Key resistance sits at 4,445.72\u20134,450.00 (round number, 25-day SMA), 2.3% from current prices; downside support lies at 4,282.51 (10-day low, 20-day low), 1.5% from current prices. Key focus: 4,445.72\u20134,450.00 Resistance | 4,282.51 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Overview of Key Levels<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Instrument<\/strong><\/td>Resistance R1<\/td>Resistance R2<\/td>Resistance R3<\/td>Support S1<\/td>Support S2<\/td>Support S3<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
XAUUSD<\/strong><\/td>4445.72\u20134450.00<\/strong> Round number, 25-day SMA<\/td>4510.77<\/strong> 10-day high, previous week high<\/td>4696.81\u20134700.00<\/strong> Round number, 20-day high<\/td>4282.51<\/strong> 10-day low, 20-day low<\/td>4100.00<\/strong> Round number<\/td>3942.97<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
USDJPY<\/strong><\/td>155.000<\/strong> Key round number<\/td>156.000\u2013156.034<\/strong> Round number, 10-day SMA<\/td>157.919\u2013158.000<\/strong> Round number, 25-day SMA, 200-day EMA<\/td>152.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>151.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>147.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td><\/tr>
NAS100<\/strong><\/td>29674.1<\/strong> Previous week high<\/td>30265.7<\/strong> 20-day high, last month high<\/td>30722.3<\/strong> 60-day high<\/td>28975.8\u201329000.0<\/strong> Round number, lower Bollinger Band<\/td>28889.8\u201328903.6<\/strong> 20-day low, 10-day low<\/td>28206.3<\/strong> Last month low<\/td><\/tr>
USOIL<\/strong><\/td>104.585<\/strong> Day high, 10-day high<\/td>108.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>113.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>98.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>89.000\u201389.020<\/strong> Round number, 21-day SMA<\/td>84.501<\/strong> 10-day low, previous week low<\/td><\/tr>
DJ30<\/strong><\/td>52969.5\u201353011.3<\/strong> Round number, 55-day SMA, 50-day SMA<\/td>53791.0\u201353834.0<\/strong> 10-day high, 20-day high<\/td>54795.0<\/strong> 60-day high, last month high<\/td>51997.0\u201352000.0<\/strong> Round number, previous day low<\/td>51399.5<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td>50500.0<\/strong> Round number<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Resistance and support are each arranged from nearest to farthest: R1\/S1 are the nearest, R3\/S3 are the farthest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reviewing last week’s market performance, US Crude Oil rose 12.03%, Nasdaq fell 1.64%, USD\/JPY fell 1.81%, and Gold fell 2.22%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold’s trading range for the week was 4,291.39 \u2013 4,442.95, with price action’s daily close situated near the midpoint of the range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From a medium-term structural view, Gold currently sits above its 20-week moving average (4,333.30, approximately five months) and remains above its 100-week moving average (approximately two years), with the medium-term trend not yet damaged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead today, market focus turns first to European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde\u2019s speech.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Themes A sharp drop in US Crude Oil was the most prominent change of the day, while US equities and Gold closed higher and USD\/JPY moved lower, forming a directional divergence. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM came in at 0.4%, higher than expected; following this data release, various instruments failed to forge […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-41424","market-overview","type-market-overview","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUS Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM Higher Than Expected, Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears, US Crude Oil Tumbles Nearly 4%, Market Focuses on ECB President Lagarde\u2019s Speech - ADFX<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/fr\/market-overview\/us-consumer-price-index-cpi-mom-higher-than-expected-tug-of-war-between-bulls-and-bears-us-crude-oil-tumbles-nearly-4-market-focuses-on-ecb-president-lagardes-speech\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM Higher Than Expected, Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears, US Crude Oil Tumbles Nearly 4%, Market Focuses on ECB President Lagarde\u2019s Speech\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Themes A sharp drop in US Crude Oil was the most prominent change of the day, while US equities and Gold closed higher and USD\/JPY moved lower, forming a directional divergence. 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