{"id":14973,"date":"2026-02-03T18:34:28","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T07:34:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/?post_type=market-overview&p=14973"},"modified":"2026-02-04T19:13:13","modified_gmt":"2026-02-04T08:13:13","slug":"gold-rallies-and-aussie-firms-after-rba-hike-ahead-of-adp-and-ism","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/gold-rallies-and-aussie-firms-after-rba-hike-ahead-of-adp-and-ism\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold rallies and Aussie firms after RBA hike ahead of ADP and ISM\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market Recap<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD\u00a0
XAUUSD\u00a0ended the session higher, settling at 4,946.45 after posting a high of 4,993.87 at 18:39 and a low of 4,665.96 at 01:00. The day opened at 4,672.25 and closed\u00a0up\u00a0274.20, a gain of 5.87%. Price traversed a 327.91-point range, equivalent to 7.02% of the open, with the low set\u00a0immediately\u00a0at the start and the high arriving later in the evening,\u00a0indicating\u00a0a low-before-high sequence. The close was\u00a0in\u00a0the upper end of the day\u2019s span, finishing 47.42 points below the peak. Round-number levels featured through the session: the market rebounded from below 4,700 after the early dip, advanced through 4,900, and reached 4,993.87, leaving the\u00a05,000 mark\u00a0untraded. On the hourly backdrop, the close stood above the H1 20-period simple moving average at 4,899.25. From a broader H4 lens,\u00a0price\u00a0finished below the H4 50-period simple moving average at 5,058.62, while the H4 MACD signal remained negative at -76.91. The session stayed comfortably above the 5-day low at 4,402.82, with no fresh multi-day extremes recorded. By the\u00a0close, the market had retraced little from the late-session highs, preserving most of the day\u2019s advance and leaving the session profile skewed toward the top of the range.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

EURUSD\u00a0
EURUSD\u00a0traded within a contained\u00a0early-European\u00a0session on 2026-02-03, opening at 1.18 and closing at 1.18 for a gain of 0.20%. Price set the session low at 1.18 at 00:01 server time before advancing to the high of 1.18 at 06:22, with the sequence of extremes forming low before high. The intraday span measured 0.29% of the open, and the close was positioned near the top of the\u00a0day\u2019s\u00a0range at about 90% by the session end at 08:14. The action centered on the 1.18 round figure, with dips early in Asia stabilizing and subsequent trade pushing into the upper end of the band ahead of the European open window. The close left price parked close to the session high,\u00a0indicating\u00a0session-end demand concentrated toward the upper quartile of the range. From a higher-timeframe\u00a0perspective, the H4 21-period EMA sat near 1.18, while the D1 Bollinger midline was also close to 1.18, framing the session within nearby reference levels. On the multi-day map, the recent 5-day low was registered near 1.18, and the session stayed above that marker throughout. Overall, the period featured an early probe lower followed by an orderly climb into the high, with no further extension beyond 06:22 and consolidation into the close near the day\u2019s upper boundary.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

AUDUSD\u00a0
AUDUSD\u00a0ended the 00:00\u201308:12 session at 0.70, up 0.0068 on the day, a gain of 0.98% from the 0.69 open. The session range was 0.0092, equal to 1.32% of the opening level. Price set the intraday low at 0.69 at 00:20, shortly after the session began, and then advanced, with the 06:08 print marking the day\u2019s high at 0.70. Trading moved through the 0.70 figure during the ascent, and by the session\u00a0end\u00a0the pair\u00a0retained\u00a0most of the advance, closing near the upper end of the\u00a0day\u2019s\u00a0range. The close was achieved without revisiting the early low, leaving the session characterized by an early downside probe followed by a sustained move higher into the high and a finish away from the midpoint. From a higher\u2011timeframe\u00a0context, reference levels included the D1 20\u2011period simple moving average near 0.68 and the H4 21\u2011period exponential moving average around 0.70. On the multi\u2011day map, the five\u2011day low stood at 0.69, which remained untested after the\u00a0initial\u00a0dip. Round\u2011number activity centered on the 0.70 handle, which was engaged ahead of the session high and remained relevant\u00a0into\u00a0the close. No tick\u2011volume data or daily ATR comparison was available for this session. Overall, the pair progressed from an early trough to a\u00a0late-session\u00a0close\u00a0close\u00a0to the day\u2019s peak, with the 0.70 area featuring prominently in both the intraday high and the final print.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets digested policy and labor updates over the past day: the RBA lifted its cash rate to 3.85 percent from 3.60, and New Zealand\u2019s employment rose 0.5 percent quarter over quarter, beating a -0.5 forecast and improving from 0.0 previously. Ahead, the focus turns to inflation and U.S. activity data. At 12:00 server time, euro area CPI year over year is expected to edge up to 2.0 percent after 1.9 previously. At 15:15, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change is forecast at 7.0, down from 41.0 prior; stronger-than-expected private hiring can firm expectations for labor market momentum. The U.S. ISM Non\u2011Manufacturing PMI follows at 17:00, seen easing to 51.8 from 54.4, a level still consistent with modest expansion in services. At 17:30, EIA crude oil inventories are expected at -1.01 after a -2.29 prior draw. Headline risk may produce short\u2011term volatility around the ADP release at 15:15, especially as markets calibrate expectations for broader payrolls and growth. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Recap  XAUUSD\u00a0XAUUSD\u00a0ended the session higher, settling at 4,946.45 after posting a high of 4,993. 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