시장 개요

Gold slips and dollar steadies after upside producer prices before US retail data 

ADFX 팀

Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
Gold (XAUUSD) fell over the session, settling at 4688.6, down 27.11 or 0.58% from the 4715.71 open. Price first edged higher, printing the day’s high at 4726.75 at 03:05, before sliding to the low at 4669.52 by 16:49 and finishing above that trough. The intraday span measured 57.23, equivalent to 1.21% of the open. The close landed at 33.3% of the day’s range measured from the low and below the intraday midpoint of 4698.14, indicating a finish in the lower third of the range. Price action crossed a 10-handle threshold during the session and traded both sides of the 4700 round figure, ultimately closing beneath it after an early push above 4720. The sequence featured an early high, subsequent lower prints into late afternoon, and a modest lift off the session low into the final minutes. From a higher-timeframe perspective, momentum gauges were subdued, with H4 RSI14 at 47.49 and D1 RSI14 at 48.26, while the day’s range did not reference any flagged multi-day extremes. No tick-volume data were provided. Overall, XAUUSD spent most of the day backing away from the early 4720s area and testing the 4700 handle before probing into the 4660s, with the close below both the midpoint and the big figure highlighting the session’s lower settlement within a contained 57-handle range. 

USDJPY 
USDJPY finished the session at 157.80, up 0.20 (0.13%) from an open of 157.60. Price action unfolded within a 0.41 range, equal to about 0.26% of the open and roughly 31% of the 14-day daily ATR of 1.35, indicating a range narrower than its recent daily average. The low printed first at 157.51 at 00:00 before the market advanced to the high at 157.92 at 21:00, establishing the sequence of extremes as low-before-high. The pair remained below 158.00 throughout and settled in the upper portion of the day’s range, closing within the top third and above the midpoint. From the open, the market traveled 0.09 lower to the session low and 0.32 higher to the high, with a final open-to-close gain of 0.20. The session set a new 5-day and 10-day high, confirming fresh near-term peaks on the daily count. On the H4 timeframe, MACD registered a positive reading at 0.23. The close sat beneath the 160.00 handle, with the day’s high leaving the figure untested and the close about 2.2 below it. Intraday structure featured an early trough at the session start, a late-session print of the high at 21:00, and an upper-range finish into the close, with no revisit of the initial low. Overall, the day delivered incremental gains with an upper-range settlement and a range that compared modestly to prevailing daily volatility. 

EURUSD 
EURUSD traded in a contained band over the session from 00:00 to 05:50, setting a low at 1.17313 at 04:17 before edging to the day’s high at 1.17412 at 04:49; it settled at 1.17375, a net gain of 0.00013 (+0.01%) from the 1.17362 open. The intraday range measured 0.00099 (about 10 pips), equal to roughly 17% of the D1 ATR14 of 0.00595, and the close finished in the upper half of the range and marginally above the open. Price action orbited the 1.1740 figure near the high and probed the 1.1730 area near the low, without testing the 5‑day low at 1.17205, which remained about 17 pips beneath the close. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the pair finished almost in line with the H4 50‑SMA at 1.17382, while remaining below the H4 21‑EMA at 1.17494. The sequence saw a relatively steady start, a dip into the session trough just after 04:15, and a rebound into the late‑session high ahead of the finish, leaving the settlement slightly off the top. By construction, the move preserved the broader short‑term band on H4/H1 while keeping realized volatility compressed versus the prevailing daily average. The session structure featured frequent engagement around the mid‑1.173s, with the upper print stopping short of a sustained hold above 1.1740 and the lower print holding above 1.1730. Overall, EURUSD closed narrowly higher on light amplitude, with the modest advance and tight span aligning with a range that undershot the current daily volatility gauge. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

U.S. wholesale inflation surprised to the upside, with producer prices rising 1.4 percent month over month, versus 0.5 percent previously and a 0.4 percent forecast. Looking ahead, the calendar centers on the U.S. at 12:30 server time: Initial Jobless Claims are expected at 209.0 after 200.0 last week, arriving alongside Core Retail Sales month over month, projected at 1.5 percent following 1.9 percent previously. A stronger-than-forecast retail sales print would indicate more resilient consumer demand, which can sustain price pressures. Before that, ECB President Lagarde speaks at 09:15, and Bank of England MPC member Pill follows at 15:10; remarks could color rate-path expectations but data will dominate. The 12:30 U.S. releases could generate short-lived volatility in Treasuries, equities, and the dollar. 

자신감 있게 거래하세요,
신뢰가 뒷받침됩니다.

안전하고 신뢰할 수 있는 거래 환경을 위해 ADFX를 신뢰하는 전 세계 수백만 명의 트레이더와 함께하십시오. 지금 바로 여정을 시작하세요!