{"id":41208,"date":"2026-09-11T17:38:23","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T07:38:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/?post_type=market-overview&p=41208"},"modified":"2026-09-30T18:22:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T08:22:45","slug":"us-eia-crude-oil-stock-changes-below-expectations-dollar-strength-suppresses-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-7-market-focuses-on-us-consumer-price-index-cpi-mom","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/us-eia-crude-oil-stock-changes-below-expectations-dollar-strength-suppresses-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-7-market-focuses-on-us-consumer-price-index-cpi-mom\/","title":{"rendered":"US EIA Crude Oil Stock Changes Below Expectations, Dollar Strength Suppresses, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 7%, Market Focuses on US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market Themes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of yesterday\u2019s US market close, dollar strength and internal direction divergence among commodities emerged simultaneously: the US Dollar Index closed up 0.30%, while Gold (XAUUSD) fell 1.89%, Silver (XAGUSD) tumbled 5.48%, and USD\/JPY (USDJPY) rose 0.58%. This set of price action shows that dollar strength aligned with the co-directional weakening of precious metals and the yen, yet fails to explain the independent upward move in oil prices; therefore, a single theme should not be mechanically applied to all instruments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Central Bank interest rate decision released during the day came in at 2.65%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

US Crude Oil rose 7.39%; Silver fell 5.48%; Gold fell 1.89%; Nasdaq fell 1.01%; USD\/JPY rose 0.58%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Precious Metals & Energy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Silver (XAGUSD) closed lower at 63.573 per ounce, a decline of 5.48%. In the Asian session at 06:00, it spiked to 67.939 before softening, pulling back to 63.477 in the US session at 20:15, with the 64 mark lost intraday. Full-day amplitude was equivalent to 175% of its 14-day average daily volatility, ranking at the 95th percentile over the past 20 days, signaling a concentrated release of selling pressure. Short-term prices closed below the MA5 (65.770) (opening above and closing below it intraday), medium-term prices closed above the MA50 (62.479), while the long-term moving average MA100 (67.022) exerts suppression above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance: 65.000\u201365.024 (key round number, 55-day EMA), 2.2% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support: 62.000 (round number), 2.5% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. Before reclaiming the MA5 (65.770), bounces are still treated as pressure relief; if 62.000 (round number) is further lost, the next observation level sits at 58.000 (round number).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USOIL (US Crude Oil)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energy markets strengthened in tandem overnight, with US Crude Oil (USOIL) closing at 103.999, surging 7.39%. In the Asian session at 06:15, it tested down to near 95.534 before stabilizing, touching 104.139 in the US session at 20:45. The 96 level was lost and regained intraday, while breaking above the 99 mark during the session and holding firm above it. Full-day amplitude was equivalent to 222% of its 14-day average daily volatility, ranking at the 100th percentile over the past 20 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Short- and medium-term prices both sit above the MA5 (95.954) and MA20 (88.462); the long-term moving average MA100 (86.989) provides support underneath. Key resistance: 106.000 (round number), 1.9% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support: 102.000 (round number), 1.9% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. Looking upward to 106.000 (round number), the structure will only improve after holding firm validly; once 102.000 (round number) is lost, weakness may extend toward the 94.966\u201395.000 zone (key round number, Fib 38.2%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Other Asset Performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NAS100 (Nasdaq)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 298.7 points to close at 29,151.6, a drop of 1.01%. Key resistance: 29,500.0\u201329,506.7 (round number, day high), 1.2% from current prices; downside support: 28,889.8\u201328,903.6 (20-day low, 10-day low), 0.9% from current prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

USDJPY (USD\/JPY)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY (USDJPY) closed at 154.416, up slightly by 0.58%. Key resistance: 155.956\u2013156.000 (round number, 10-day EMA), 1.0% from current prices; downside support: 152.874\u2013153.000 (round number, previous day low, 10-day low, 20-day low, 60-day low), 0.9% from current prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overview of Key Levels<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Instrument<\/strong><\/td>Resistance R1<\/td>Resistance R2<\/td>Resistance R3<\/td>Support S1<\/td>Support S2<\/td>Support S3<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
XAUUSD<\/strong><\/td>4400.00\u20134403.03<\/strong> Round number, 10-day SMA, 21-day EMA<\/td>4510.77<\/strong> Previous week high<\/td>4696.81\u20134700.00<\/strong> Round number, 20-day high<\/td>4245.92\u20134250.00<\/strong> Key round number, 55-day SMA<\/td>4100.00<\/strong> Round number<\/td>3942.97<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
XAGUSD<\/strong><\/td>65.000\u201365.024<\/strong> Key round number, 55-day EMA<\/td>67.462<\/strong> Previous week high<\/td>71.154<\/strong> 10-day high, 20-day high<\/td>62.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>58.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>54.766<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
USDJPY<\/strong><\/td>155.956\u2013156.000<\/strong> Round number, 10-day EMA<\/td>157.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>160.183\u2013160.193<\/strong> 75-day SMA, last month high<\/td>152.874\u2013153.000<\/strong> Round number, previous day low, 10-day low, 20-day low, 60-day low<\/td>152.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>149.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td><\/tr>
NAS100<\/strong><\/td>29500.0\u201329506.7<\/strong> Round number, day high<\/td>29674.1<\/strong> Previous week high<\/td>30265.7<\/strong> 20-day high, last month high<\/td>28889.8\u201328903.6<\/strong> 20-day low, 10-day low<\/td>28206.3<\/strong> Last month low<\/td>27495.7\u201327500.0<\/strong> Key round number, 200-day EMA<\/td><\/tr>
USOIL<\/strong><\/td>106.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>111.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>116.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>102.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>94.966\u201395.000<\/strong> Key round number, Fib 38.2%<\/td>85.950\u201386.000<\/strong> Round number, 55-day EMA<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Resistance and support are each arranged from nearest to farthest: R1\/S1 are the nearest, R3\/S3 are the farthest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Week-to-date, USD\/JPY is down 1.14%, Nasdaq is down 1.50%, Gold is down 2.62%, and Silver is down 4.13%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold’s trading range for the week is 4,311.19 \u2013 4,442.95, with price action’s daily close situated in the lower region of that range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regarding Gold’s medium-term structure, current prices sit below the 20-week moving average (4,351.29, roughly five months) while remaining above the 100-week moving average (roughly two years), with the medium-term structure under some pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead today, market focus turns first to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM\u2014the core inflation reading that dictates rate path expectations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Themes As of yesterday\u2019s US market close, dollar strength and internal direction divergence among commodities emerged simultaneously: the US Dollar Index closed up 0.30%, while Gold (XAUUSD) fell 1.89%, Silver (XAGUSD) tumbled 5.48%, and USD\/JPY (USDJPY) rose 0.58%. This set of price action shows that dollar strength aligned with the co-directional weakening of precious […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-41208","market-overview","type-market-overview","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUS EIA Crude Oil Stock Changes Below Expectations, Dollar Strength Suppresses, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 7%, Market Focuses on US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM - ADFX<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/ko\/market-overview\/us-eia-crude-oil-stock-changes-below-expectations-dollar-strength-suppresses-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-7-market-focuses-on-us-consumer-price-index-cpi-mom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US EIA Crude Oil Stock Changes Below Expectations, Dollar Strength Suppresses, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 7%, Market Focuses on US Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Themes As of yesterday\u2019s US market close, dollar strength and internal direction divergence among commodities emerged simultaneously: the US Dollar Index closed up 0.30%, while Gold (XAUUSD) fell 1.89%, Silver (XAGUSD) tumbled 5.48%, and USD\/JPY (USDJPY) rose 0.58%. 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