{"id":38365,"date":"2026-08-25T18:57:43","date_gmt":"2026-08-25T08:57:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/?post_type=market-overview&#038;p=38365"},"modified":"2026-08-25T18:57:43","modified_gmt":"2026-08-25T08:57:43","slug":"risk-off-sentiment-heats-up-us-crude-oil-pulls-back-nearly-2-market-eyes-us-cb-consumer-confidence-index","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/risk-off-sentiment-heats-up-us-crude-oil-pulls-back-nearly-2-market-eyes-us-cb-consumer-confidence-index\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk-Off Sentiment Heats Up, US Crude Oil Pulls Back Nearly 2%, Market Eyes US CB Consumer Confidence Index"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Market Themes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yesterday, up until the US market close, risk-off sentiment dominated the market: Gold (XAUUSD) recorded a 1.01% gain, while Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 0.92%, presenting a sharp contrast to the pattern of commodities bulls exerting force on August 21. This shift in the main narrative was extremely clean; we tend to observe for another day to confirm its continuity\u2014after all, the divergence between Gold and US Crude Oil (Gold up 1.01%, US Crude Oil (USOIL) down sharply by 2.08%) indicates that internal commodity drivers are not unified, so a single theme should not be simple-mindedly applied to all asset classes. In addition, the New Zealand Retail Sales QoQ released intraday recorded -0.5%, far weaker than expected (previous value revised to 1%), failing to provide extra boost to market sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-176-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38371\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-176-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-176-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-176-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-176-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-176.png 1330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-177-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38372\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-177-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-177-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-177-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-177-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-177.png 1330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-178-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38383\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-178-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-178-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-178-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-178-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-178.png 1330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>US Crude Oil (USOIL) fell 2.08%; Gold (XAUUSD) rose 1.01%; Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 0.92%; Euro (EURUSD) fell 0.11%; British Pound (GBPUSD) fell 0.09%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-179-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38382\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-179-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-179-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-179-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-179-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-179.png 1330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-180-1024x585.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38401\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-180-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-180-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-180-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-180-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-180.png 1330w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On August 24, US Crude Oil (USOIL) closed at 85.483, falling sharply by 2.08%. In the Asian session at 22:00, it surged to 87.103 before turning weak, and in the US session at 15:30, it pulled back to 84.912. The 85 mark was lost and then regained intraday, while the 86 mark was lost during the day. The intraday amplitude was approximately 78% of its 14-day average daily volatility. In the short term, it closed below MA5 (85.958) (opening above it intraday and closing below); in the medium term, it closed above MA20 (82.415); the long-term moving average MA100 (87.492) forms overhead resistance. Key resistance sits at 88.321 (10-day high, 20-day high); downside support lies at 83.000\u201383.012 (round number, Fib 38.2%). The downtrend is clear-cut, and every short-term bounce will first have to pass those lost positions ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Precious metals market also strengthened in tandem overnight, with Gold (XAUUSD) rising 46.5 pips, closing at 4,651.05 per ounce, up 1.01%. In the Asian session at 00:15, it dipped to around 4,594.64 before stabilizing, and in the US session at 13:30, it touched 4,680.93. The 4,600 mark was lost and then regained intraday, and during the day it broke above the 4,650 mark and stabilized above it. Key resistance sits at 4,750.00 (major round number); downside support lies at 4,550.00\u20134,551.47 (round number, 5-day EMA). The upward momentum continued; if it effectively breaks above the previous high, medium-to-short-term upside space will open up further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The three major US stock indices weakened on the same day, with Nasdaq (NAS100) falling 269.5 points, closing at 29,039.7, down slightly by 0.92%. Key resistance sits at 29,500.0\u201329,514.6 (round number, Fib 23.6%); downside support lies at 28,816.1 (100-day SMA). We believe short-term control remains with the bears; before reclaiming short-term moving averages, a rebound is better viewed as relief rather than a reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Euro (EURUSD) closed at 1.16631, down slightly by 0.11%. Immediate resistance sits at 1.16868 (day high); key resistance at 1.17110 (previous day high, 10-day high); downside support lies at 1.16265\u20131.16318 (Fib 23.6%, 250-day SMA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>British Pound (GBPUSD) closed at 1.36301, down slightly by 0.09%. Immediate resistance sits at 1.36554 (day high); key resistance at 1.36700\u20131.36750 (previous day high, 10-day high); downside support lies at 1.36000 (round number).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Levels<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>XAUUSD<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 Resistance: 4,750.00 (major round number) \/ 4,850.00 (round number) \/ 5,000.00 (major round number); Support: 4,550.00\u20134,551.47 (round number, 5-day EMA) \/ 4,400.00 (round number) \/ 4,324.60 (previous week low)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>EURUSD<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 Resistance: 1.17110 (previous day high, 10-day high) \/ 1.17500 (major round number) \/ 1.18000 (round number); Support: 1.16265\u20131.16318 (Fib 23.6%, 250-day SMA) \/ 1.15571\u20131.15637 (20-day SMA, 250-day EMA) \/ 1.13500\u20131.13528 (round number, 20-day low)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>NAS100<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 Resistance: 29,500.0\u201329,514.6 (round number, Fib 23.6%) \/ 30,000.0 (major round number) \/ 30,332.7 (last month high); Support: 28,889.8 (100-day SMA) \/ 28,000.0 (round number) \/ 27,083.2 (20-day low, 60-day low)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>USOIL<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 Resistance: 88.321 (10-day high, 20-day high) \/ 91.000 (round number) \/ 93.919\u201394.000 (round number, last month high); Support: 83.000\u201383.012 (round number, Fib 38.2%) \/ 81.511 (previous week low) \/ 74.423 (20-day low)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>GBPUSD<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 Resistance: 1.36700\u20131.36750 (previous day high, 10-day high) \/ 1.37500 (major round number) \/ 1.38000 (round number); Support: 1.36000 (round number) \/ 1.35144\u20131.35213 (Fib 38.2%, 21-day EMA) \/ 1.32727 (20-day low)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So far this week, Gold is up 1.69%, Euro is down slightly by 0.06%, Nasdaq is down 0.96%, and US Crude Oil is down 2.00%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold&#8217;s trading range this week is 4,594.64 \u2013 4,691.64, with the current close located in the upper area of the range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a medium-term structural view, Gold is currently above its 20-week moving average (4,386.19, approximately five months) and remains above its 100-week moving average (approximately two years); the medium-term trend remains intact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong> The above content represents general market information and data review only and does not constitute any investment advice, recommendation, or offer to buy or sell. CFDs and other leveraged products carry high risk and may lead to losses exceeding your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results; please evaluate carefully according to your own circumstances.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Themes Yesterday, up until the US market close, risk-off sentiment dominated the market: Gold (XAUUSD) recorded a 1.01% gain, while Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 0.92%, presenting a sharp contrast to the pattern of commodities bulls exerting force on August 21. This shift in the main narrative was extremely clean; we tend to observe for another [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-38365","market-overview","type-market-overview","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Risk-Off Sentiment Heats Up, US Crude Oil Pulls Back Nearly 2%, Market Eyes US CB Consumer Confidence Index - ADFX<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/ms\/market-overview\/risk-off-sentiment-heats-up-us-crude-oil-pulls-back-nearly-2-market-eyes-us-cb-consumer-confidence-index\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ms_MY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Risk-Off Sentiment Heats Up, US Crude Oil Pulls Back Nearly 2%, Market Eyes US CB Consumer Confidence Index\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Themes Yesterday, up until the US market close, risk-off sentiment dominated the market: Gold (XAUUSD) recorded a 1.01% gain, while Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 0.92%, presenting a sharp contrast to the pattern of commodities bulls exerting force on August 21. 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