Visão Geral do Mercado

Dollar advances against yen while gold eases despite soft US data 

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Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
XAUUSD ended the session at 4651.17, down 41.01 points or 0.874% from the 4692.18 open. It posted the day’s high at 4718.79 at 10:36 and the low at 4644.38 at 23:39, a 5‑day trough, with the 23:57 close 6.8 points above that low. The intraday range measured 74.41 points, equivalent to 1.59% of the opening price. Trading unfolded on both sides of the 4700 handle: an early advance took price through 4700 into the late‑morning high, then it moved back below 4700 and extended lower into late trade. By the close, the market sat near the bottom of the day’s span and below the nearest 100‑handle of 4700. On the H1 timeframe, the 21‑period EMA stood at 4681.77, with the settlement below that reference. The H4 RSI(14) registered 40.29. On the daily backdrop, spot remained above the lower Bollinger band at 4517.3. Intraday structure showed the peak forming late morning, followed by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows into the final hour when the new session trough printed. The day concluded within a 74‑point span after breaching 4700 and closing near the session low. 

USDJPY 
USDJPY advanced over the session, settling at 158.31 for a gain of 0.48 (+0.30%) after a 1.14 range (0.72% of the open). It opened at 157.83, traded lower into the afternoon to the session low of 157.27 at 16:45, then recovered through the 158.00 figure and printed the high at 158.41 at 23:44, closing near the top of the day’s range. The intraday path featured a lower trough well above 157.00 and a late push that left the close close to the high, with 158.00 acting as a notable round level reclaimed before the final hour. The session was flagged as registering new 5‑ and 10‑day highs, while the 5‑day low reference stands at 156.45. On the daily backdrop, price finished above the Bollinger midline at 158.22, placing the close marginally north of that center band. On H4, the MACD line at 0.29 remained above its signal at 0.24, indicating a positive alignment on that timeframe without divergence detail. The day’s high sat just beneath recent reference levels while the range expansion was moderate relative to the open, and the late-session mark-up kept the closing print in the upper end of the distribution. From a multi‑day perspective, the session’s upper print aligns with the flagged 5‑ and 10‑day highs, while the distance from the 5‑day low at 156.45 underscored the week’s upward skew within the recent band. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

U.S. releases dominated a light docket: initial jobless claims rose to 211,000 from 200,000, exceeding the 209,000 consensus, while retail sales advanced 0.5 percent month over month, a clear deceleration from the prior 1.7 percent and below the 1.2 percent forecast. Looking ahead, the next 24 hours feature New Zealand’s BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index at 01:30 server time; after 53.2 previously, economists look for a pullback to 48.7. A reading below 50 indicates contraction in factory activity. No additional data prints of note are slated in this window, and the calendar is otherwise thin on set-piece events, though headlines could still influence sentiment. Given the early Asia release time and typically lighter liquidity, NZD pairs can see outsized moves around the index print.

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