{"id":41594,"date":"2026-09-15T18:02:04","date_gmt":"2026-09-15T08:02:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/?post_type=market-overview&p=41594"},"modified":"2026-09-30T18:04:17","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T08:04:17","slug":"sweden-cpi-mom-lower-than-expected-dollar-strength-suppresses-us-crude-oil-rises-market-focuses-on-france-cpi-mom","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/sweden-cpi-mom-lower-than-expected-dollar-strength-suppresses-us-crude-oil-rises-market-focuses-on-france-cpi-mom\/","title":{"rendered":"Sweden CPI MoM Lower Than Expected, Dollar Strength Suppresses, US Crude Oil Rises, Market Focuses on France CPI MoM"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market Themes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dollar strength was the clearest common thread overnight, but commodities were not synchronized internally: the US Dollar Index rose 0.37%, Gold fell 1.17%, Euro fell 0.42%, and USD\/JPY rose 0.55%; meanwhile, US Crude Oil rose 1.78%, moving in the opposite direction of Gold. This set of divergences illustrates that applying a single theme to all instruments does not hold up, and the respective price drivers for Gold and Crude Oil still need to be observed separately. The Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM released during the day came in at -0.3%, lower than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Crude Oil rose 1.78%; Gold fell 1.17%; Nasdaq fell 0.64%; USD\/JPY rose 0.55%; Euro fell 0.42%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USOIL (US Crude Oil)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On September 14, US Crude Oil (USOIL) closed higher, settling at 101.961, up 1.78%. In the European session at 12:30, it spiked to 104.990 before softening, pulling back to 100.591 in the US session at 18:30. The 101 mark was lost and regained intraday, while the 102 mark was surrendered during the day. Intraday amplitude was approximately 108% of its 14-day average daily volatility. Short- and medium-term prices both sit above the MA5 (99.487) and MA20 (90.208); the long-term moving average MA100 (87.125) provides support underneath.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance sits at 104.990\u2013105.000 (key round number, day high), 3.0% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support lies at 99.000 (round number), 2.9% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. Looking upward, standing firm above 104.990\u2013105.000 (key round number, day high) is required before talking about opening up space; if 99.000 (round number) is further lost, the next observation level sits at 91.000\u201391.089 (round number, previous week low).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

USDJPY (USD\/JPY)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The foreign exchange market strengthened in tandem overnight as well, with USD\/JPY (USDJPY) closing at 154.332, up slightly by 0.55%. In the Asian session at 00:00, it probed down to near 153.363 before stabilizing, touching 154.991 in the US session at 13:45. Intraday, it broke above the 154 mark and held firm above it. Intraday amplitude was approximately 115% of its 14-day average daily volatility. Short-term prices closed above the MA5 (153.945) (opening below and closing above it intraday); medium-term prices closed below the MA20 (157.373); the long-term moving average MA200 (158.419) exerts suppression above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance sits at 156.000 (round number), 1.1% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support lies at 152.874\u2013153.000 (round number, 10-day low), 0.9% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. The confirmation line lies at MA20 (157.373); before reclaiming it, a bounce-back is more like a correction than a trend reversal. If 152.874\u2013153.000 (round number, 10-day low) is lost, weakness may extend toward the 151.000 (round number) level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD (Gold)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The precious metals market weakened on the same day, with Gold (XAUUSD) falling 50.9 points to close at 4,297.57 per ounce, down 1.17%. In the Asian session at 02:30, it spiked to 4,355.33 before softening, pulling back to 4,253.61 in the US session at 13:00, with the intraday high untested thereafter. The 4,300 mark was surrendered during the day, while an attempt to test the 4,350 mark failed to hold above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance sits at 4,400.00\u20134,402.45 (round number, previous day high), 2.4% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support lies at 4,200.00 (round number), 2.3% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. Before reclaiming the MA100 (4,331.42), bounces are still treated as pressure relief; if 4,200.00 (round number) is further lost, the next observation level sits at 4,019.08 (last month low).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Other Asset Performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NAS100 (Nasdaq)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 187.0 points to close at 29,212.1, down slightly by 0.64%. Key resistance: 29,500.0\u201329,504.8 (round number, previous day high), 1.0% from current prices; downside support: 28,827.2 (day low, 10-day low), 1.3% from current prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

EURUSD (Euro)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Euro (EURUSD) closed at 1.15478, down slightly by 0.42%. Key resistance: 1.15978\u20131.16024 (round number, day high, 5-day SMA, 21-day EMA, 10-day EMA), 0.5% from current prices; downside support: 1.14998\u20131.15000 (key round number, last month low), 0.4% from current prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Overview of Key Levels<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Instrument<\/strong><\/td>Resistance R1<\/td>Resistance R2<\/td>Resistance R3<\/td>Support S1<\/td>Support S2<\/td>Support S3<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
XAUUSD<\/strong><\/td>4400.00\u20134402.45<\/strong> Round number, previous day high<\/td>4442.05\u20134442.95<\/strong> 25-day SMA, previous week high<\/td>4696.81\u20134700.00<\/strong> Round number, 20-day high<\/td>4200.00<\/strong> Round number<\/td>4019.08<\/strong> Last month low<\/td>3942.97<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
EURUSD<\/strong><\/td>1.15978\u20131.16024<\/strong> Round number, day high, 5-day SMA, 21-day EMA, 10-day EMA<\/td>1.16500\u20131.16537<\/strong> Round number, 10-day high<\/td>1.17110<\/strong> 20-day high, 60-day high<\/td>1.14998\u20131.15000<\/strong> Key round number, last month low<\/td>1.14500<\/strong> Round number<\/td>1.13241<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
NAS100<\/strong><\/td>29500.0\u201329504.8<\/strong> Round number, previous day high<\/td>29755.8\u201329761.4<\/strong> 10-day high, Fib 23.6%<\/td>30457.4<\/strong> 60-day high<\/td>28827.2<\/strong> Day low, 10-day low<\/td>28206.3<\/strong> Last month low<\/td>27500.0<\/strong> Key round number<\/td><\/tr>
USOIL<\/strong><\/td>104.990\u2013105.000<\/strong> Key round number, day high<\/td>110.000<\/strong> Key round number<\/td>115.000<\/strong> Key round number<\/td>99.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>91.000\u201391.089<\/strong> Round number, previous week low<\/td>83.000\u201383.014<\/strong> Round number, 75-day SMA<\/td><\/tr>
USDJPY<\/strong><\/td>156.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>156.275<\/strong> Previous week high<\/td>160.193<\/strong> Last month high<\/td>152.874\u2013153.000<\/strong> Round number, 10-day low<\/td>151.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>148.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Resistance and support are each arranged from nearest to farthest: R1\/S1 are the nearest, R3\/S3 are the farthest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Week-to-date, US Crude Oil is up 2.01%, Euro is down 0.43%, Nasdaq is down 0.76%, and Gold is down 1.39%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold’s trading range for the week is 4,253.61 \u2013 4,355.33, with price action’s daily close situated near the midpoint of the range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From a medium-term structural view, Gold is currently located below its 20-week moving average (4,333.30, approximately five months) while remaining above its 100-week moving average (approximately two years), with the medium-term structure under some pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead today, market focus turns first to the France Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM\u2014the core inflation reading that dictates rate path expectations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Themes Dollar strength was the clearest common thread overnight, but commodities were not synchronized internally: the US Dollar Index rose 0.37%, Gold fell 1.17%, Euro fell 0.42%, and USD\/JPY rose 0.55%; meanwhile, US Crude Oil rose 1.78%, moving in the opposite direction of Gold. This set of divergences illustrates that applying a single theme […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-41594","market-overview","type-market-overview","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSweden CPI MoM Lower Than Expected, Dollar Strength Suppresses, US Crude Oil Rises, Market Focuses on France CPI MoM - ADFX<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/pt-pt\/market-overview\/sweden-cpi-mom-lower-than-expected-dollar-strength-suppresses-us-crude-oil-rises-market-focuses-on-france-cpi-mom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sweden CPI MoM Lower Than Expected, Dollar Strength Suppresses, US Crude Oil Rises, Market Focuses on France CPI MoM\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Themes Dollar strength was the clearest common thread overnight, but commodities were not synchronized internally: the US Dollar Index rose 0.37%, Gold fell 1.17%, Euro fell 0.42%, and USD\/JPY rose 0.55%; meanwhile, US Crude Oil rose 1.78%, moving in the opposite direction of Gold. 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