{"id":41767,"date":"2026-09-16T12:46:22","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T02:46:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/?post_type=market-overview&p=41767"},"modified":"2026-09-30T18:04:05","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T08:04:05","slug":"france-cpi-mom-meets-expectations-commodity-bulls-gain-momentum-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-3-market-focuses-on-uk-cpi-yoy","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/france-cpi-mom-meets-expectations-commodity-bulls-gain-momentum-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-3-market-focuses-on-uk-cpi-yoy\/","title":{"rendered":"France CPI MoM Meets Expectations, Commodity Bulls Gain Momentum, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 3%, Market Focuses on UK CPI YoY"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Market Themes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of yesterday\u2019s US market close, commodities and USD\/JPY strengthened in tandem, while Gold and the Nasdaq moved slightly lower. This divergence itself is worth noting: Silver rose 0.69%, US Crude Oil surged 3.47%, and USD\/JPY gained 0.49%, whereas Gold fell 0.11% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.72%. A more reasonable interpretation is that independent drivers emerged within commodities while precious metals and tech stocks failed to keep pace for now; a single day’s divergence is not yet sufficient to determine a shift in the main theme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The France Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM released during the day came in at 0.7%, meeting expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Crude Oil rose 3.47%; Nasdaq fell 0.72%; Silver rose 0.69%; USD\/JPY rose 0.49%; Gold fell 0.11%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Silver\uff08XAGUSD\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Closed at 63.643 per ounce, recording a gain of 0.69%. In the European session at 08:00, it tested down to near 62.544 before finding support, surging to 63.934 in the US session at 19:00, regaining the 63 mark after losing it intraday. Intraday amplitude was 55% of its 14-day average daily volatility, ranking at the 5th percentile over the past 20 days, with price action signaling relatively narrow trading. Short-term sits below the MA5 (64.430); medium-term sits above the MA50 (62.618); long-term moving average MA100 (66.693) exerts suppression above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance: 64.997\u201365.000 (key round number, 25-day EMA), 2.1% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support: 62.320 (previous day low, 10-day low), 2.1% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. The confirmation line lies at MA5 (64.430); before reclaiming it, a bounce-back is more like a correction than a trend reversal; once 62.320 (previous day low, 10-day low) is lost on a closing basis, weakness may extend toward the 58.000 (round number) level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key focus: 64.997\u201365.000 Resistance | 62.320 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energy Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

US Crude Oil (USOIL) closed at 105.503, recording a gain of 3.47%. In the European session at 12:45, it tested down to near 101.241 before finding support, surging to 106.752 in the US session at 17:15, successively breaking above the 102, 103, 104, and 105 marks intraday and holding firm above them. Intraday amplitude was approximately 131% of its 14-day average daily volatility. Short- and medium-term prices both sit above the MA5 (101.696) and MA20 (91.227); the long-term moving average MA100 (87.205) provides support underneath.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance: 108.000 (round number), 2.4% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support: 103.000 (round number), 2.4% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. 108.000 (round number) is the first substantial resistance above, and chasing long positions is not advised before a breakthrough; if 103.000 (round number) is lost on a closing basis, the next observation level sits at 97.000\u201397.044 (round number, 10-day SMA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key focus: 108.000 Resistance | 103.000 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Foreign Exchange Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

USD\/JPY (USDJPY) closed at 155.082, recording a gain of 0.49%. In the Asian session at 23:00, it tested down to near 154.199 before finding support, surging to 155.228 in the European session at 08:00, breaking above the 155 mark intraday and holding firm above it, reclaiming the MA10 (154.987), though still remaining below the MA20 (157.147), with short-term structure seeing some repair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key resistance: 156.275 (previous week high), 0.8% from current prices, requiring a close above to be valid; downside support: 154.000 (round number), 0.7% from current prices, with a loss on a closing basis taking precedent. Before reclaiming the MA20 (157.147), bounces are still treated as pressure relief; if 154.000 (round number) is further lost on a closing basis, the next observation level sits at 152.874\u2013153.000 (round number, 10-day low).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key focus: 156.275 Resistance | 154.000 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Other Asset Performance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NAS100 (Nasdaq)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Nasdaq (NAS100) fell 209.5 points to close at 29,002.6, recording a drop of 0.72%. Key resistance: 29,186.7\u201329,214.8 (day high, Fib 61.8%), 0.7% from current prices; downside support: 28,764.7 (100-day EMA), 0.8% from current prices. Key focus: 29,186.7\u201329,214.8 Resistance | 28,764.7 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

XAUUSD (Gold)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Closed at 4,292.78 per ounce, recording a drop of 0.11%. Key resistance: 4,350.00\u20134,352.51 (round number, 200-day EMA, 75-day EMA), 1.3% from current prices; downside support: 4,200.00 (round number), 2.2% from current prices. Key focus: 4,350.00\u20134,352.51 Resistance | 4,200.00 Support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Overview of Key Levels<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Instrument<\/strong><\/td>Resistance R1<\/td>Resistance R2<\/td>Resistance R3<\/td>Support S1<\/td>Support S2<\/td>Support S3<\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
XAUUSD<\/strong><\/td>4350.00\u20134352.51<\/strong> Round number, 200-day EMA, 75-day EMA<\/td>4439.05\u20134442.95<\/strong> 25-day SMA, previous week high<\/td>4696.81\u20134700.00<\/strong> Round number, 20-day high<\/td>4200.00<\/strong> Round number<\/td>4019.08<\/strong> Last month low<\/td>3942.97<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
XAGUSD<\/strong><\/td>64.997\u201365.000<\/strong> Key round number, 25-day EMA<\/td>68.315<\/strong> 10-day high, previous week high<\/td>71.154<\/strong> 20-day high, 60-day high<\/td>62.320<\/strong> Previous day low, 10-day low<\/td>58.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>54.766<\/strong> 60-day low<\/td><\/tr>
USDJPY<\/strong><\/td>156.275<\/strong> Previous week high<\/td>157.000\u2013157.147<\/strong> Round number, 20-day SMA<\/td>160.193<\/strong> Last month high<\/td>154.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>152.874\u2013153.000<\/strong> Round number, 10-day low<\/td>148.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td><\/tr>
NAS100<\/strong><\/td>29186.7\u201329214.8<\/strong> Day high, Fib 61.8%<\/td>29755.8\u201329768.3<\/strong> 10-day high, 20-day high<\/td>30265.7<\/strong> Last month high<\/td>28764.7<\/strong> 100-day EMA<\/td>28206.3<\/strong> Last month low<\/td>27500.0<\/strong> Key round number<\/td><\/tr>
USOIL<\/strong><\/td>108.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>113.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>119.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>103.000<\/strong> Round number<\/td>97.000\u201397.044<\/strong> Round number, 10-day SMA<\/td>91.089<\/strong> Previous week low<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Resistance and support are each arranged from nearest to farthest: R1\/S1 are the nearest, R3\/S3 are the farthest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Week-to-date, USD\/JPY is up 1.20%, Silver is up 0.24%, Gold is down 0.38%, and Nasdaq is down 1.21%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold’s trading range for the week is 4,253.61 \u2013 4,355.33, with price action’s daily close situated near the midpoint of the range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From a medium-term structural view, Gold currently sits above its 20-week moving average (4,333.30, approximately five months) and remains above its 100-week moving average (approximately two years), with the medium-term trend not yet damaged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead today, market focus turns first to the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY\u2014the core inflation reading that dictates rate path expectations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Themes As of yesterday\u2019s US market close, commod […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-41767","market-overview","type-market-overview","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFrance CPI MoM Meets Expectations, Commodity Bulls Gain Momentum, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 3%, Market Focuses on UK CPI YoY - ADFX<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/th\/market-overview\/france-cpi-mom-meets-expectations-commodity-bulls-gain-momentum-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-3-market-focuses-on-uk-cpi-yoy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"th_TH\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"France CPI MoM Meets Expectations, Commodity Bulls Gain Momentum, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 3%, Market Focuses on UK CPI YoY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Market Themes As of yesterday\u2019s US market close, commod […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/france-cpi-mom-meets-expectations-commodity-bulls-gain-momentum-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-3-market-focuses-on-uk-cpi-yoy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ADFX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-30T08:04:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-163-1024x585.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"6 \u0e19\u0e32\u0e17\u0e35\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/france-cpi-mom-meets-expectations-commodity-bulls-gain-momentum-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-3-market-focuses-on-uk-cpi-yoy\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/market-overview\/france-cpi-mom-meets-expectations-commodity-bulls-gain-momentum-us-crude-oil-surges-nearly-3-market-focuses-on-uk-cpi-yoy\/\",\"name\":\"France CPI MoM Meets Expectations, Commodity Bulls Gain Momentum, US Crude Oil Surges Nearly 3%, Market Focuses on UK CPI YoY - 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