{"id":9418,"date":"2025-06-07T13:27:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-07T03:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ad-fx.com\/market-overview\/markets-await-u-s-economic-data-amid-easing-geopolitical-tensions\/"},"modified":"2025-12-08T20:54:50","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T09:54:50","slug":"markets-await-u-s-economic-data-amid-easing-geopolitical-tensions","status":"publish","type":"market-overview","link":"https:\/\/www.adfxzh.com\/zh-hant\/market-overview\/markets-await-u-s-economic-data-amid-easing-geopolitical-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5e02\u5834\u975c\u5f85\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52e2\u7de9\u89e3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u6a19\u666e\u6307\u6578\u98c6\u5347\u81f3\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff1a\u5009\u4f4d\u535a\u5f08\u4e3b\u5c0e\u884c\u60c5<\/h3>\n\n

\u53d7\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u677f\u584a\u6700\u521d\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u73fe\u5df2\u6f14\u8b8a\u70ba\u4e00\u5834\u8de8\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u5168\u9762\u98a8\u96aa\u64e0\u58d3\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u4e0d\u50c5\u6210\u529f\u6536\u5fa92\u6708\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u66f4\u5f9e4\u6708\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4ee5\u4f86\u98c6\u5347\uff0c\u5e02\u503c\u56de\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\u63a5\u8fd110\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u7576\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u4e0d\u518d\u8655\u65bc\u201c\u53cd\u5f48\u201d\u72c0\u614b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u9032\u5165\u4e86\u201c\u61c9\u5c0d\u8207\u518d\u914d\u7f6e\u201d\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6b63\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u8cc7\u7522\u914d\u7f6e\u548c\u98a8\u96aa\u655e\u53e3\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7bc0\u594f\u986f\u8457\u52a0\u5feb\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u9ec3\u91d1\u627f\u58d3\u4e0b\u884c\uff1a\u907f\u96aa\u964d\u6eab + \u901a\u8139\u64d4\u6182\u62ac\u982d<\/h3>\n\n

\u96a8\u8457\u4e2d\u6771\u5730\u5340\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u7de9\u89e3\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u51fa\u73fe\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u524d\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u555f\u95dc\u7a05\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u901a\u8139\u62ac\u982d\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u58d3\u5236\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5feb\u901f\u964d\u606f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5c0d\u91d1\u50f9\u69cb\u6210\u96d9\u91cd\u6253\u64ca\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u653f\u7b56\u9810\u671f\uff1a\u7126\u9ede\u805a\u96c6\u65bc\u9031\u4e94PCE\u6578\u64da<\/h3>\n\n

\u5e02\u5834\u7576\u524d\u666e\u904d\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c07\u65bc9\u6708\u958b\u59cb\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5169\u6b21\u5171\u8a0850\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8b39\u614e\uff0c\u95dc\u6ce8\u672c\u9031\u4e94\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u500b\u4eba\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\uff08PCE\uff09\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u8a72\u6578\u64da\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u8a55\u4f30\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u53c3\u8003\u6307\u6a19\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u8d70\u52e2\u9084\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c<\/h3>\n\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u5df2\u9023\u7e8c\u56db\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u8abf\u63a8\u52d5\uff0c\u532f\u50f9\u7a81\u78340.6560\uff0c\u5275\u51fa\u968e\u6bb5\u6027\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728\u6210\u529f\u7a81\u7834\u95dc\u9375\u7684200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5747\u7dda\uff080.6423\uff09\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u6fb3\u5143\u6709\u671b\u5ef6\u7e8c\u5347\u52e2\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u5f9e\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e5\u6708\u4efdCPI\u5e74\u7387\u7531\u524d\u503c2.4%\u56de\u843d\u81f32.1%\uff0c\u4ecd\u7a69\u5c45\u6fb3\u6d32\u806f\u5132\uff08RBA\uff092%-3%\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u5340\u9593\u4e4b\u5167\uff0c\u70ba\u653f\u7b56\u7dad\u7a69\u63d0\u4f9b\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c6\u6708\u521dPMI\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u6301\u7e8c\u64f4\u5f35\uff0c\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u6307\u6578\u70ba51.0\uff0c\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u6307\u6578\u70ba51.3\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u5f37\u4e86\u6fb3\u5143\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u652f\u6490\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u4f5c\u70ba\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u51765\u6708\u4efd\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u5de5\u696d\u751f\u7522\u3001\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u7b49\u95dc\u9375\u6578\u64da\u5747\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u5e74\u589e\u901f\u7dad\u6301\u57285%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u7a4d\u6975\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u4e5f\u6210\u70ba\u652f\u6490\u6fb3\u5143\u4e2d\u671f\u770b\u6f32\u524d\u666f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5916\u90e8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u6fb3\u5143\u6280\u8853\u9762\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n\n

\u5728\u6280\u8853\u5c64\u9762\uff0cAUD\/USD\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u4f4d\u65bc2025\u5e74\u9ad8\u9ede0.6558\uff086\u670826\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u82e5\u532f\u50f9\u6210\u529f\u7a81\u7834\u8a72\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u4e0a\u884c\u76ee\u6a19\u5c07\u4f9d\u6b21\u6307\u54112024\u5e7411\u67087\u65e5\u9ad8\u9ede0.6687\u30012024\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u9ad8\u9ede0.6942\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u6709\u671b\u6e2c\u8a660.7000\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\u3002 <\/p>\n

\n
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AUDUSD, H4<\/sub><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n

\u5118\u7ba1\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u504f\u5411\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4ecd\u904b\u884c\u5728\u6954\u5f62\u6574\u7406\u7d50\u69cb\u5167\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\u5c1a\u672a\u660e\u78ba\u7a81\u7834\u300250\u65e5\u8207200\u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff09\u5206\u5225\u4f4d\u65bc0.6455\u548c0.6427\uff0c\u70ba\u532f\u50f9\u63d0\u4f9b\u5805\u5be6\u652f\u6490\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff08RMI\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u572860\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u4e0a\u6f32\u52d5\u80fd\u7a69\u5065\uff0c\u4e14\u5c1a\u672a\u9032\u5165\u8d85\u8cb7\u5340\u57df\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9700\u8b66\u60d5\u201c\u5047\u7a81\u7834\u201d\u98a8\u96aa\uff1a\u82e5\u532f\u50f9\u7a81\u7834\u6954\u5f62\u4e0a\u6cbf\u4f46\u672a\u5f62\u6210\u6709\u6548\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u767c\u56de\u8abf\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u9996\u500b\u56de\u8e29\u4f4d\u65bc0.6500\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6490\u770b\u54110.6450\u5340\u57df\u3002 <\/p>\n

\n
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AUDUSD, D1<\/sub><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n

\u5118\u7ba1\u5e02\u5834\u6574\u9ad4\u504f\u5411\u770b\u6f32\uff0c\u4f46\u6fb3\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7576\u524d\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u6954\u5f62\u6574\u7406\u7d50\u69cb\u4e2d\u300250\u65e5\u548c200\u65e5\u6307\u6578\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08EMA\uff09\u5206\u5225\u4f4d\u65bc0.6455\u82070.6427\uff0c\u69cb\u6210\u77ed\u7dda\u6709\u6548\u652f\u6490\u3002\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff08RMI\uff09\u7dad\u6301\u572860\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u4e0a\u884c\u52d5\u80fd\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u5c1a\u672a\u9032\u5165\u8d85\u8cb7\u5340\u57df\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u8b66\u60d5\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\u88ab\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u767c\u6280\u8853\u6027\u56de\u8abf\uff0c\u9996\u500b\u56de\u8e29\u76ee\u6a19\u70ba0.6500\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u4f4d\u65bc0.6450\u9644\u8fd1\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

XAUUSD\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n\n

\u5118\u7ba1\u91d1\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd1\u671f\u52d5\u80fd\u660e\u986f\u6e1b\u5f31\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u5169\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u96d6\u7dad\u6301\u57283,350\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u4f46\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u8cb7\u76e4\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u8d70\u52e2\u986f\u5f97\u75b2\u8edf\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u5f62\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u505c\u706b\u5354\u8b70\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u5834\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u964d\u6eab\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u7576\u524d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u9ec3\u91d1\u4f5c\u70ba\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u7a7a\u9593\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8f49\u800c\u7b49\u5f85\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u865f\uff0c\u4ee5\u78ba\u8a8d\u91d1\u50f9\u662f\u5426\u771f\u6b63\u7bc9\u5e95\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u672c\u9031\u4e8c\u91d1\u50f9\u77ed\u66ab\u8dcc\u78343,300\u7f8e\u5143\u95dc\u53e3\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c1a\u672a\u770b\u5230\u6709\u529b\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u8de1\u8c61\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u95dc\u6ce8\u7126\u9ede\u5c07\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u9031\u4e94\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u7f8e\u570b5\u6708\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u4e0a\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u6700\u70ba\u770b\u91cd\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6307\u6a19\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8a72\u6578\u64da\u5c07\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52e2\u548c\u5229\u7387\u9810\u671f\u7522\u751f\u95dc\u9375\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u9593\u63a5\u6c7a\u5b9a\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u65b9\u5411\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

\u8fc4\u4eca\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u5c1a\u672a\u80fd\u5f9e\u904e\u53bb\u5169\u5468\u7684\u4f4e\u9ede\u5be6\u73fe\u6709\u610f\u7fa9\u7684\u6280\u8853\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u6574\u9ad4\u8868\u73fe\u4f9d\u820a\u627f\u58d3\u3002\u77ed\u7dda\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u82e5PCE\u6578\u64da\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6216\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6253\u58d3\u91d1\u50f9\u53cd\u5f48\u52d5\u80fd\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5247\u53ef\u80fd\u70ba\u91d1\u50f9\u63d0\u4f9b\u968e\u6bb5\u6027\u652f\u6490\u3002 <\/p>\n

\n
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XAUUSD,H1<\/sub><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n

Technical Outlook on XAU\/USD<\/h3>\n\n

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\u66f4\u7a69\u59a5\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u7b49\u5f85\u901a\u9053\u4e0b\u8ecc\u7834\u4f4d\u5f8c\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u51fa\u73fe\u5f8c\u7e8c\u78ba\u8a8d\u6027\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u518d\u8003\u616e\u9806\u52e2\u505a\u7a7a\u3002\u82e5\u4e0b\u884c\u8da8\u52e2\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u6216\u5c07\u9010\u6b65\u4e0b\u63a2\u81f33,245\u7f8e\u5143\u652f\u6490\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8dcc\u54113,210\u20133,200\u7f8e\u5143\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6e2c\u8a663,175\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u652f\u6490\u3002 <\/p>\n\n

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